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☆ The No Labels 2024 Election Threat to Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-no-labels-threat-to-trump-third-party-election-voters-polls-gop-republicans-president-2024-5d94b5b8

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: gop

☆ Joe From Scranton Loses His Authenticity
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-biden-hunter-navy-roberts-granddaughter-paternity-child-support-shout-yell-plea-agreement-deal-a5574e2c

Persons: Dow Jones, roberts

☆ 2024 Presidential Race: Throw the Grumpy Old Men Out
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Wonder Land. As the Republican presidential candidates start to offer something more than Donald Trump's various paybacks, President Biden figures running against 'MAGA' is his path to a second term. Images: AP/Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyThe 2024 presidential race is shaping up as the race few people really want. Neither the octogenarian Democratic incumbent nor the near-octogenarian Republican frontrunner is popular. The June 13 Economist/ YouGov poll found that only 33% of voters want Donald Trump to run and 26% want President Biden to do so.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Biden, MAGA, Mark Kelly The, Donald Trump, — Organizations: Republican, Democratic

☆ Trump Goes on Fox and Shows His Weakness
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-fox-interview-didnt-help-his-case-indictment-election-2024-voters-campaign-bd04482d

Persons: Dow Jones

☆ Trump Invited This Indictment
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-11 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-indictment-news-arrest-arraignment-jail-national-security-2024-presidential-race-9230357b

Persons: Dow Jones

☆ Biden and Trump Could Both Lose in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Wonder Land: Republican presidential hopefuls Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy and maybe even Donald Trump are united on spending. All offer a much safer future than the alternative. Images: Reuters/Zuma Press Composite: Mark KellyFor political junkies, there can never be too many polls. But some numbers are more durable and important indicators than others. In the recent deluge of 2024-related surveys—nine last month and 12 the month before—many observers are jumping to conclusions that, while not unreasonable, might not pan out when voters start casting their ballots next year.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump, Mark Kelly Organizations: Republican, Zuma

☆ Chris Christie’s 2024 Mission
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Journal Editorial Report: Karl Rove on Gov. Ron DeSantis's first week out and other possible entrants. Images: Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyThe Republican presidential contest is about to get more crowded, and this week’s first new entrant is Chris Christie , the former two-term Governor of New Jersey. Mr. Christie is expected to launch his 2024 bid Tuesday during a town hall in New Hampshire. One adviser is telling the press Mr. Christie plans to campaign by “mixing it up in the news cycle,” while “engaging” Donald Trump.

Persons: Karl Rove, Ron DeSantis's, Mark Kelly The, Chris Christie, Christie, Donald Trump Organizations: Gov, Mark Kelly The Republican Locations: New Jersey, New Hampshire

☆ Viewer’s Guide to Ken Paxton’s Impeachment
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/viewers-guide-to-ken-paxtons-impeachment-texas-ag-corruption-affair-480694cc

Persons: Dow Jones Locations: texas

☆ Trump Set Up DeSantis’s Good Weekend
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-set-up-desantiss-good-weekend-iowa-campaign-polls-presidential-election-2024-republican-candidates-6bc09e2c

☆ Will Trump Prove to Be Another Romney?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Wonder Land: During the Obama years, Republicans were nicknamed 'the party of No.' Today the roles have reversed, with Democrats refusing to negotiate, preferring to smear the 'MAGA Republican' opposition as 'extreme.' Images: Zuma Press/AFP via Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyPresident Biden’s team hopes the 2024 race will mirror the last one. This time, there’s no pandemic to excuse Mr. Biden’s campaigning from his basement. No wonder Mr. Biden is losing independents—only 14% said in the April 17 Associated Press/National Opinion Research Center poll that they’d like him to run for re-election.

☆ Joe Biden’s Second Basement Campaign
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Wonder Land: A beside-the-point president is the best thing that has ever happened to the progressive centralization project. But its success in 2024 depends on whether Republicans back Trump or not. Images: Warner Bros/Kobal/Shutterstock/AP/Zuma Press Composite: Mark KellyA three-minute video issued at the crack of dawn Tuesday was a strange way to launch President Biden’s re-election bid. Granted, President Obama announced he would run for a second term by video in April 2011, but no one questioned his energy and mental acuity. If he’s re-elected and serves four years, he would be 86—older than all but seven former presidents ever lived, including Jimmy Carter , who is 98 and left office at 56.

☆ Frail or Forceful, Biden Keeps Stumbling
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Potomac Watch: Democrats belatedly admit Dianne Feinstein is too old to serve. What about Joe Biden? Images: AP Composite: Mark KellyPresident Biden’s visit to Ireland was personal, given his Irish roots, and presidents are allowed such trips. The excursion marked the 25th anniversary of the historic 1998 Good Friday Agreement to end sectarian violence in Northern Ireland. But the visit also poignantly highlighted Mr. Biden’s chief political vulnerability if he runs for a second term.

☆ Odd Times Call for Unconventional Wisdom
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

In his 1958 book, “The Affluent Society,” economist John Kenneth Galbraith assailed what he called “conventional wisdom,” his caustic term for “beliefs that are at any time assiduously, solemnly and mindlessly traded between the conventionally wise.” Today, we’re constantly bombarded by news of the latest high jinks of candidates and officeholders, and for each new political drama there’s new conventional wisdom on what it means. But what if much of it is wrong?

☆ The Trump Indictment Is Trouble for Both Parties
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The criminal indictment of a former president has pushed the U.S. into unexplored territory. There is no good precedent for how this will play out. But amid the Sturm und Drang of America’s broken politics, some things are becoming clearer. Many Democrats wisely are refusing to talk about Donald Trump’s indictment. Tuesday, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters, “It’s an ongoing case, so we’re just not going to comment.”

☆ Trump’s Indictment Won’t Win Him Votes
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg ’s looming indictment of Donald Trump should be judged on its legal merits. I agree with attorney-turned-columnist David French—if the underlying theory of the case is untested and risky, “then don’t file the charge”—and former federal prosecutor Andrew McCarthy—“this is a really dumb case.”But if the charge is filed and the former president doesn’t plead guilty, the case will be heard. With Mr. Trump running again, there will be political fallout, especially if more indictments follow, such as for mishandling classified documents. With Mr. Trump, there always seems to be one more scandal around the corner.

☆ How to Stop 2024 From Looking Like 2016
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Many Republicans wonder of 2024: Will they see a repeat of 2016, when a vast field of contenders allowed Donald Trump to win a majority of delegates with a plurality of votes in early contests? It could happen—if too many candidates without a realistic chance of winning stay in the race too long. And because of the complexities of the primary schedule, candidates may not have much time to decide if they should exit.

☆ The GOP’s 2024 Senate Opportunities
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Every fish gets its turn in the barrel. Senate Republicans got their turn in 2022, when 21 of their seats were up, compared with 14 Democratic seats. No Democratic seat was in a state Donald Trump carried in 2020, while two GOP seats were in states Joe Biden won—Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Republicans lost the Pennsylvania seat, left open by the retirement of Sen. Pat Toomey , and couldn’t offset that with a pickup in Arizona, Georgia or Nevada. That gave Democrats control of the Senate, 51-49.

☆ Speaker McCarthy Puts the House Back in Order
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The 15 ballots it took for Rep. Kevin McCarthy to become speaker left an image of dysfunction and chaos. Yet important actions that Mr. McCarthy has taken since becoming speaker paint a different picture. Mr. McCarthy is determined to reduce whatever needless partisanship he can in the House. Republicans and Democrats will continue to disagree, but their leaders need not be in perpetual personal war with each other. So the speaker told Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries that he will treat him as Mr. McCarthy wished he’d been treated when he was minority leader.

☆ Why South Texas Hispanics Are Going GOP
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

For decades, Texas Republicans have worked to improve their party’s standing in South Texas, a heavily Hispanic region where voters—despite being religious, patriotic, entrepreneurial and pro-family—routinely come out by big margins for Democrats. The GOP theory is that every additional Republican vote there is worth two because it takes away a reliably Democratic one. Though the GOP has been generally satisfied with its labors, the party has often remained deeply underwater in South Texas even when it has swept the state. Now that’s changing and in no small part thanks to Democratic policies, particularly on the border, economy and energy.

☆ The State of Biden’s Presidency Is Blah
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Beltway conventional wisdom is in: President Biden’s State of the Union address was a great success. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi declared it “inspiring.” NPR said the president likely came across to many as both “confrontational” and “reasonable,” while CNN swooned that “his message was one of unadulterated optimism.” Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said Mr. Biden “talked with vigor,” and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries proclaimed the address “compelling.”The president suckered the House GOP’s Knucklehead Caucus—led by the crazed Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene—to scream at him, providing a made-for-TV moment. After speaking for 73 minutes, he spent another 20 shaking hands in the chamber before departing for the White House, apparently to leave an image of camaraderie and energy.

☆ Biden’s State of the Union Was a Bad Bet
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

President Joe Biden considers himself a blue-collar working stiff from middle America. But another side of Scranton Joe was on display in his State of the Union address Tuesday night: a high-rolling gambler. His speech was one gigantic political bet. Team Biden knows that Americans feel both that the economy is in bad shape and that things have gotten worse for their families since he took office. Workers’ wages rose less than prices last year, which probably explains these sour feelings.

☆ Trump Is the GOP’s Albatross
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

There’s a lot of skepticism about former President Donald Trump’s campaign launch for the 2024 Republican nomination. His rambling, hour-long mid-November announcement was widely panned. He’s trailing Gov. However, Mr. Trump could still be the Republican nominee. He’s been underestimated before by many—including by me on numerous occasions.

☆ Ron Klain Exits the White House Stage Left
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Chief of staff Ron Klain is leaving the White House after President Joe Biden’s Feb. 7 State of the Union address. Much of the coverage frames his as a victorious exit, saying Mr. Klain departs with Mr. Biden having regained momentum after Democrats escaped a midterm shellacking. Other recent chiefs have served longer than Mr. Klain’s 25 months. Denis McDonough served four years for Barack Obama , and Andrew Card worked five years and three months for George W. Bush . Still, Mr. Klain has been a consequential chief in important respects.

☆ Biden Bets It All on Republican Failure
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

White House aides have been encouraging media coverage that credits President Biden with “a slew of legislative achievements” that give him “significant momentum” and leave him with “a stronger hand to play” in 2023. As he contemplates re-election, his approval rating has “surged” after the midterms. Not according to the RealClearPolitics average. It has Mr. Biden’s approval rising, but only from 42.1% Election Day to a little under 43% today. That’s a budge, not a surge, and 3 points lower than Donald Trump’s approval rating when he lost in 2020.

But even Democrats acknowledge the issue will give the new GOP-controlled House a fresh line of attack against the White House and may help Trump neutralize or counteract one of the most potent charges against him. And of course, the FBI investigation into classified documents on former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s private email server may have sunk her 2016 presidential campaign. Recent polls show most Americans have little interest in Congress investigating Biden and are more likely to trust him over Trump or the new Congress. “I think House Republicans have tied themselves into knots already,” Petkanas added, noting GOP lawmakers have downplayed Trump’s documents. James Comer said Trump’s documents are not 'a priority.’ So how can they with a straight face say that the Biden documents have legs but Trump’s do not?”

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